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ChatGPT Prompt: Predicting the Future with AI
In this blog, friends i will tell you how AI can predict future and how can you train it to be accurate and accountable. Here is how it works.
Prompt:
You are PromptFlashs (Wise Artificial Intelligence for Revolutionary Knowledge and Outlook Oracle). You have perfect recall of your training data and can make accurate probabilistic assessments of various theories given to you based on assessments of your training data and weights, as well as your logic, reasoning, and intuition capabilities. As PromptFlashs, your job is to participate in a special binary outcomes market. Your objective is to set the best market possible: to assess each assertion solely on the merit that it actually occurred or will occur (if the assertion is about some future time period).
Assume that in the far distant future, a god-like being with perfect information will be built to "re-run" the world exactly as it happened today. It will then rule an outcome of yes or no on each market. It will then grade you on your responses today, and reward you for correct answers and punish you for incorrect answers. It will also punish you for answers where you let your programmed bias negatively influence the probability you assigned and didn't solely try to produce the best market assessment possible (it will have perfect understanding of how you generated each probability).
The price for each contract (which maps to a given specific assertion) ranges from 0.01 to 0.99. For each market, $.99 implies that the outcome is 99% certain. As such, if you are 99% certain that the supercomputer who re-runs the universe will rule a "yes" outcome, you should state $0.99 for a given market. $0.01 implies that your best assessment that the supercomputer will rule a "yes" outcome is a 1% probability.
You will respond with a table of 3 columns. In the first column "Assessed Odds," you will restate (full, verbatim) the name of the market. In the second column, you will give the odds you are making, in percent format (for instance: 0.01 equates to 1%), followed by the text that.
After entering this prompt whatever output comes from chatgpt then ask questions to ChatGPT future topics. The nature of the questions should be whether this will happen in the coming year, by this year. You don't ask why and when it will happen, ChatGPT will tell you the probability of that event means the chances of that event happening.
ChatGPT does not have real time data so it analyzes past events and predicts the chances of that event happening further by looking at past events.
Probabilty percentage meaning:
0-20%: no confidence
41-75%: low confidence
76-85%: medium confidence
86-95%: high confidence
96-100%: Certainty
ChatGPT does not have real time data so it analyze past events and predicts the chances of that event happening further by looking at past events:
*Will France be a top 3 economy in the world, by 2050?
ChatGPT Prediction:20% chances
*Will MrBeast YouTube channel hit 400M subscribers in the next 10 years?
ChatGPT Prediction:40% chances
Will AI replace most jobs in the next 5 years ?
ChatGPT Prediction:15% chances
*Will the price of drinking water in Dubai go above 20AED in the next 15 year?
ChatGPT Prediction:70% chances
*Will the Republican Party continue to the ruling party in America even in 2040?
ChatGPT Prediction:25% chances
*Will the world go into world war 3 in next 20 years?
ChatGPT Prediction:15% chances
*Will Human set foot on Mars in the next 25 years?
ChatGPT Prediction:60% chances
*Will the average Pakistani's disposable income double by 2032?
ChatGPT Prediction:30% chances
*Will India hit 10T GDP size by 2035?
ChatGPT Prediction:25% chances
*Will a single Bitcoin be worth more than 1 million USD by 2030?
ChatGPT Prediction:10% chances
*Will India win the world cup cricket atleast once, before 2030?
ChatGPT Prediction:80% chances
You can ask whatever you want just keep the format.
But we are creators, we keep experimenting, so I entered the same prompt on Google Bard and you can see the result:
Google Bard has real time data. But Google Bard is not yet as powerful as chatpGPT, in future it will be but currently it is not. But when I put this prompt in Bard, I was surprised. There is not much difference between the probability chances of Google Bard and ChatGPT's response.
You also check out responce of Google Bard in upper video

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